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สาส์นจากนายกสมาคม TRA PRESIDENT VIEW
 
   主席观点
   Natural Rubber Situation in 2025
The global economy is expected to slow down due to the impact of inflation and rising production costs. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has projected that the global real GDP growth rate for 2024 and 2025 will be 3.2%. Contributing factors include high interest rates, the appreciation of the US dollar, and geopolitical tensions such as the potential escalation of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war. Furthermore, the return of the US President Donald Trump, with his continuation of the 'Make America Great Again' policy and the 'America First' agenda, may further exacerbate these challenges. These policies include the imposition of a 60% import tax on China and a 10-20% import tax on other countries, aimed at protecting domestic industries and reducing reliance on foreign production. Such tariffs could disrupt global supply chains, particularly those involving China. Additionally, the effects of climate change, coupled with the spread of rubber leaf fall disease, have severely hindered agricultural production, further compounding economic pressures.

The rubber industry in 2025 is expected to experience a slowdown due to both global economic factors and the issues outlined above. The Association of Natural Rubber Producing Countries (ANRPC) forecasts that global natural rubber production in 2024 will reach 14.53 million tons, reflecting a 4.5% increase from 2023. Thailand remains the leading producer, followed by Indonesia, Côte d'Ivoire, Vietnam, and India. Global demand for natural rubber is expected to be 15.14 million tons, representing a slight decrease of 0.2% from 2023. China remains the top consumer, followed by India, Thailand, the EU-27 & UK, and Indonesia. Thailand faces significant risks from climate change, which is becoming increasingly frequent and severe. Additionally, Thailand’s entrepreneurs face the challenge of adapting to stricter climate-related regulations globally, including the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) and the EU Deforestation-Free Products Regulation, which is expected to come into effect in early 2026.

In conclusion, the Thai Rubber Association anticipates strong cooperation from the relevant public, private, and smallholder sectors. Thailand must swiftly adjust trade and export strategies by focusing on securing new trade partners, exploring alternative markets to mitigate export risks, and preparing to comply with evolving trade regulations in order to maintain the competitiveness and sustainability of the natural rubber industry.

Mr. Veerasith Sinchareonkul
President
The Thai Rubber Association

主席观点   January  2025     
     
  history  
 
[   October  2013 ]
icon A study trip and meeting in the Northeast

Natural rubber is a plant of economic importance of Thailand, involving over 6 million people from various sectors: farmers, entrepreneurs, labourers and government agencies. In 2012, Thailand produced 3.78 million tonnes of natural rubber. The value of the overall export of rubber and rubberwood is 647,906 million baht, of which 327,275 million baht is from 3.12 million tonnes of primary processed rubber and compound rubber, 259,832 million baht from ru...

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[   September  2013 ]
icon Driving rubber industry with intellectual property

As everyone may have known, Thailand has been the world’s largest producer and exporter of natural rubber since 1991. In contrast, domestic consumption in the country is low, compared to production quantity as Thai rubber industry is agricultural-based, concentrating on exporting primary processing products to other countries for industrial purpose.  Consequently, Thailand encounters a problem of price volatility and instability, affecting the livelihood...

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[   August  2013 ]
icon Rubber Products Expo 3

Thailand is one the world’s most important rubber production bases. Currently, Thailand covers the natural rubber plantation area of 18.7 million rai (2.992 million hectares), of which mature area is 13.81 million rai (2.2096 million hectares). In 2013, the annual rubber output is expected to reach 3.86 million tonnes, of which 13% is domestically consumed, 83% is exported in the form of primary processing products, generating income of over 600 ...

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[   July  2013 ]
icon Rubber trade contract sanctity

Global rubber trade lies in two categories i.e. futures markets, Tokyo Commodity Exchange, Singapore Commodity Exchange, Agricultural Futures Exchange of Thailand for example and direct trade in physical markets.

In futures market, both actual physical delivery and cash settlement are practiced. But mostly, cash settlement is preferred as to speculate for difference of prices at different time.

Direct trad...

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[   June  2013 ]
icon The role of Thailand in the International Rubber Association
The Thai Rubber Association (TRA) is a private entity whose major role is to cooperate with rubber related public and private sectors as well as rubber growers locally and internationally. TRA is one of the Management Committee members of the International Rubber Association (IRA) which is globally recognized in international rubber trade community. Currently, IRA consists of 24 producing and consuming members from 8 countries. Its objective is to formulate rubber trade practices,...
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